活动预告｜人工智能重塑劳动力市场背景下，职业KSA匹配度对向上流动的限制

清华大学中国科技政策研究中心第134期学术沙龙暨清华大学公共管理学院政治与公共政策研究所公共政策讲堂第28期

时间：2026年6月16日（周二）14：00-16：00

地点：清华大学公共管理学院302会议室

语言：中文

题目：How Occupational KSA Alignment Constrains Upward Mobility in AI-Reshaped Labor Markets

主讲内容：

As artificial intelligence reshapes labor markets, this study examines how similarity between workers’existing occupational knowledge, skills, and abilities (KSAs) and those required by target occupations affects upskilling and upward mobility over time. The findings reveal a persistent “similarity trap”: greater overall KSA similarity reduces the likelihood of upward mobility, instead channeling workers toward lateral or downward moves. Knowledge similarity shows substantial variation over time, suggesting sensitivity to changing technological and institutional conditions, while skill similarity becomes increasingly restrictive as routine-aligned skills lose mobility value in AI-affected labor markets. By contrast, the negative effect of ability similarity converges over time, implying that foundational cognitive capacities remain broadly transferable. The study contributes by reframing occupational similarity as a mechanism of mobility lock-in rather than advantage and by showing that the value of human capital shifts under technological disruption. It generates important practical implications for workforce develop and learning pathways.

主讲人：张婷，美国巴尔的摩大学哈里·Y·赖特经济学讲席教授,梅里克商学院总系主任

主持人：梁正，清华大学公共管理学院教授，清华大学中国科技政策研究中心副主任

主讲人介绍：

Dr. Ting Zhang has received major honors including the USM Board of Regents Faculty Award in Scholarship/Research, the University President’s Award, multiple teaching & research awards, and fellowships from APPAM, the Kauffman Foundation, and the U.S. Department of Labor.

A former chair of North American Regional Science Council, she also held honor roles with APPAM and the Labor and Employment Relations Association and served on Maryland’s Equal Pay Commission. Her research on human capital, employment, entrepreneurship, and workforce development has been widely published, including in journals such as Small Business Economics, Production and Operations Management, Transportation Research Part A, etc.

Her work has been featured in outlets such as Forbes, Bloomberg Businessweek, and Time. She also serves on the editorial boards of several journals, including Small Business Economics, the Journal of Urban Management, and Letters in Spatial & Resource Sciences.